Thursday, April 2, 2015

The 'winter that never showed up'...

...is coming to an end....The fourth in a row.
March brought next to nothing, a few somewhat interesting skies as remnants of low pressure systems drifted over, but about enough rain to get the pavement wet.



And a bit of nice cirrus too.


I want to see more skies like this!




 

 

In the time I might have spent editing some new batches of stormy gnarly clouds, I did some research. What's been the cause of all this?
It's been dubbed the 'Ridiculously Resilient Ridge' (of high pressure).


http://coyot.es/slowwatermovement/2014/09/29/ridiculously-resilient-ridge-possibly-dismal-climate-scenario-for-california-and-beyond/

http://coyot.es/slowwatermovement/2014/09/29/ridiculously-resilient-ridge-possibly-dismal-climate-scenario-for-california-and-beyond/#ixzz3VXZWD8HY
To quote from this blog:
"I will, however, speculate on possible implications if the Ridiculously Resilient Ridge is going to be around for the next few decades. While we don’t know if the ridge has formed in the more distant past, we do have a good idea about what California’s climate was like over the past 10,000 years – and it isn’t a pretty picture. It has been very well established that droughts lasting MANY DECADES have come through the area, drying up lakes to the point that trees grew to mature size in their lakebeds, and possibly causing various civilizations in the Southwest to collapse. It’s certainly possible that the Ridge or something like it played a role in those droughts."

[[Canyon De Chelly is probably an example of this:


About a thousand years ago, there was a serious drought, and many if not most of the SW native americans pulled stakes, and moved to... who knows where?... probably north.]]

Pretty scientific for a guy like me, but understandable, give it a try, there's a nice animation part way down the page:
http://www.weatherwest.com/archives/tag/ridiculously-resilient-ridge

The RRR is coupled with the 'TTT':
"In the east, we’ve seen its southern-dipping counterpart, which I call the “Terribly Tenacious Trough.”
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/weird-winter-weather-plot-thickens-as-arctic-swiftly-warms/

http://www.livescience.com/50103-february-temperatures-divide-us.html

Here's a map that says it all:


Many other interesting links:

SKI RESORTS CLOSE - NO SNOW!
http://touch.latimes.com/#section/1780/article/p2p-83138341/

Aspen is running out of snow.
http://www.mensjournal.com/magazine/aspen-and-the-end-of-snow-20140117

http://www.newsweek.com/why-californians-are-starved-water-314867

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/13/opinion/the-southwestern-water-wars.html?_r=0

--------------------------------

Owens Lake (now Owens Valley) is a prime example of short sighted water use.
The 110-square-mile lakebed has been dry since 1926, 13 years after Los Angeles officials opened an aqueduct that diverted water 200 miles away to the young metropolis. The audacious water grab, memorialized in the 1974 movie Chinatown, turned the lake into a ghostly white alkali void. Winds sweeping down the Sierra Nevada kicked up a toxic brew of arsenic and other carcinogens, carrying it up to 75 miles and threatening the 40,000 residents of the Owens Valley region and beyond with asthma and emphysema — even heart attacks.

“You don’t want to breathe this stuff,” says Schade. “It can kill you.”

http://www.hcn.org/issues/47.4/keeping-the-dust-down-in-californias-owens-valley

--------------------------
http://www.houseofrain.com/ - click on 'the memory of water', it'll get you a PDF that's a good read, and it's free.
--------------------------
And in the course of doing some research for another one of my blogs, I came across some other very interesting pages. People like to criticize the government, but some of the services they provide are awesome, in particular the work of NOAA and NWS. Here's a few samples:

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&issuedby=MTR&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1

http://www.weather.gov/informationcenter

http://www.ripcurrents.noaa.gov/beach_hazards.shtml

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/radar_tab.php

http://www.weather.gov/satellite?image=ir

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mtr/

There is something here for a wide variety of people - from cloud watchers like me, to pilots, farmers and who knows how many others.

Let's not forget another great government operation - NASA!

http://www.nasa.gov/

(This blog is pretty nice too, if space is your cuppa tea:
http://wanderingspace.net/ )
--------------------------------------

http://www.livescience.com/49287-california-droughts-ripple-effects.html

Yes, the ripple effects will be like dominos, one cascading into another.

Drier conditions? More fires. And forest fires start a series of events. The fire leaves the ground unable to absorb any further rain, so if and when it does rain? It doesn't sink in, it creates mudslides.
It takes many years for the land to heal itself... in the meantime....?

The Central Valley loses water, & farming & agriculture shrinks? People lose jobs and maybe move on, towns and businesses dry up. And what does this do to the price of your produce?

http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2014/02/california-drought-matters-more-just-california

4/1 - announced today by order of Gerry Brown - a push for a 25% reduction in water use.
Of course this does not apply to agricultural water use, which is waaay more than consumer use.

http://news.yahoo.com/california-unveils-historic-water-restrictions-over-drought-crisis-200241456.html

One last totally excellent link, marvelous aerial photos:
http://www.theatlantic.com/photo/2015/04/the-american-west-dries-up/389432/


I'll be back in a month, probably w/ more bad drought news, but with some good skies from my archives.

Saturday, March 7, 2015

A winter with no 'winter' in it...

Everyone in the midwest and east is getting whacked eight ways to sunday. Here?.. winter is like a summer, except no fog, i go to work in shirt-sleeves most days, the rain gear and the umbrella are lost somewhere in my closet.

Predictions for a rain event of some magnitude, starting Thurs 2/5 had been in the media for days, but as i watched the sat. images and radar develop, i am disapppointed. Rain was predicted to start overnite, 2/5-2/6. Now i might wake up at 3AM, look out my windows to see a downpour, but at 5PM thursday it doesn't look like that will happen.

We finally got hit, on friday. And hit again on sunday. But nothing like a reeeeally big storm, and not enough to leave us with much more water.

There is some snow in the Sierras, ski resorts are back in business again.

No good images for this one, it just wasn't photographically interesting.

It continued to be a really dull month, photographically speaking.
Last week of the month, prediction for a minor event over the weekend. As of Saturday 2/28, it's blue skies, and puffy cotton candy clouds.
Then we did get hit, but only in a few spots for a short time.
I spotted this angry thing out my window, but it was miles away, I never saw a drop.



Some other people got some.. Hail! Wow!
http://abc7news.com/weather/wild-weather-hits-the-bay-area/538952/

And So.Cal. had some things going on too.

http://touch.latimes.com/#section/600/article/p2p-82946812/

One very interesting lenticular cloud in the Grand Tetons:

Photo: Jackie Skaggs, NPS



We need some monster storms!
Here's another one of my cyber rain dances! It needs to roll in off the ocean like this:



 

And it needs to be soooo strong and nasty, 
that by time it passes over the mountains...



..it still dumps some snow on the high desert country:



(both above and below - Nevada, near Las Vegas)


Keeping up with drought news:

Extreme drought in Northern California just got 10% better
http://touch.latimes.com/#section/-1/article/p2p-82795622/

http://www.livescience.com/49700-flying-into-atmospheric-rivers-study.html?

Scientists go high and low for data on drought-fighting 'sky rivers'
http://touch.latimes.com/#section/1780/article/p2p-82819173/

http://www.wired.com/2015/02/lack-rain-one-stories-behind-wests-inevitable-2015-drought/

http://www.livescience.com/49794-megadrought-prediction-southwest-plains.html

http://news.yahoo.com/california-drought-linked-natural-causes-not-climate-change-230935805.html


Threatened Smelt Touches Off Battles in California’s Endless Water Wars
By KATE GALBRAITHFEB. 14, 2015

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/02/15/us/threatened-smelt-touches-off-battles-in-californias-endless-water-wars.html?_r=0


California's Drought Exposes Long-Hidden Detritus - NPR
FEBRUARY 22, 2015 4:26 PM ET
http://www.npr.org/2015/02/22/387599629/californias-drought-exposes-long-hidden-detritus


Trees Rooted Under 70 Feet of Water?
Yes! - Read these next four links!

http://sierranaturenotes.com/naturenotes/paleodrought1.htm

http://www.nytimes.com/1994/07/19/science/severe-ancient-droughts-a-warning-to-california.html


http://www.monolake.org/today/2014/01/03/on-snow-surveys-drought-water-conservation-and-mono-lake/

http://www.kcet.org/news/redefine/rewild/aquatic/drought-shrinking-mono-lake.html

3/4 - I read that an El Nino is developing - a weak one, and rather too late to be any good:

http://www.sfgate.com/news/science/article/El-Nino-finally-here-but-this-1-is-weak-weird-6116484.php


Weak El Nino
http://touch.latimes.com/#section/1780/article/p2p-82976976/

Here's the science behind this prediction:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/enso.shtml



Let's hope that next month, I have to find my rain gear and umbrella.