Tuesday, March 15, 2016

An unevenful month until...

2/17 
OK, it's back to winter, storm system movin' in brought interesting clouds thru the AM hours, by 3PM, gusty winds, and showers.







There's an interesting detail in this shot, it's on the left side:



I gotta title this one 'angry!'
 

I woke up at 4:45 AM on the 18th, to hear rain whacking my windows, bigtime. I almost never get rain or my north facing windows. A look outside, and the street lamp lights up furious rain, coming down about 30 degrees less than horizontal. I sat, smoked a cigarette, and listened to and watched the show. A movie w/ sound effects. Wowweezowee!!

After that? 10 days of summer, without the fog.

2/28
Another weak front moves thru. Grey skies w/ a few interesting patches of blue. Nothing to get excited about, no rain.

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National Drought Summary for March 1, 2016
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Always check this link out:
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On Thursday 3/3 predictions are for a major event over the weekend - heavy rain, strong winds.
"Through noon on Saturday, showers are scattered in nature. From noon until 6 p.m. widespread downpours develop and winds strengthen to near 45 mph at times. Between 6 p.m. to 9 p.m., very heavy rain develops along with potentially damaging wind gusts of 50 mph. After 9 p.m. the winds begin to diminish and the rain lessens."

Of course this is rather general, it all depends on where you are - I am in San Rafael, just north of SF. Weather in the west is very dependent on elevation - precipitation is rain at the coast, in the valley - in the mountains it becomes snow.

At 7:30AM Sat., showers start. It's on and off for a while, later in the day it gets steadier and very windy.

Sun AM, i wake to clear blue skies thinking 'this ain't much of a storm!' but by 10 AM showers start, with periods of broken clouds and some sunshine.

Sun 3 PM - angry skies, but no fucking rain at all.

Sun 6 PM - OK, predictions come true, it's raining... but nothing bombastic, just a nice steady 'so glad i paid the rent and can hide inside' kinda rain.

Sun - Midnite - Heavy duty rain! With wind? 45° rain!

Monday - A few scattered showers in my neck of the woods... but dig this, not so quiet elsewhere:

Storm slams parts of Bay Area with nearly 7 inches of rain

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The next few days (tuesday & wednesday) kinda quiet.

By late Wednesday 3/9, forecasts are a-changin' - more on the way, satellite says it all:



It's 'aka' as the 'pineapple express', 
low pressure systems suck up moisture from way out in the ocean, like Hawaii, and send it on NE.
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Here's the bookmarks i have, FWIW - if you're on the west coast:



http://www.weatherwest.com - as of 3/9 PM
A look (even further) ahead
"In the longer run, it seems likely that a fairly active weather pattern will continue across California for much of March. It’s hard to say at this point whether precipitation this month might approach the remarkable late-season levels of the “Miracle March” in 1991, but it does at least appear likely that California’s snowpack will recover toward or even above average levels in the coming weeks. It’s less clear whether Southern California will be able to make up the seasonal precipitation deficit that has accumulated this year despite the near record-strength El Nino event in the tropical Pacific. Still, it appears increasingly likely that March will at least be able to make a dent–even though it’s quite clear that California’s multi-year drought will persist through the summer."
Thursday, the rain kicked in again, starting mid afternoon. I have a 2 piece suit that keeps me dry from head to toe, wore the top part, didn't wear the pants, which i regretted on the way home from work. Rained all nite, friday AM, the pattern changed to on & off showers - sunny for 1/2 an hour, turning grey, then raining for 20 minutes, the stopping - the cycle repeated through the day, 'til mid afternoon.
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"Drenched by 'March Miracle,' Northern California reservoirs inch toward capacity"
BY JOSEPH SERNA
March 14, 2016, 4:25 p.m.

http://touch.latimes.com/#section/-1/article/p2p-86215247/

Nicasio reservoir, western Marin County - full.
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There are many effects of the drought, on ecosystems, and on plants and animals already stressed. 
A sad progression for sure: 'Probably drought hastens the decline of Joshua tree."
Los Angeles Times - Published 2:25 pm, Wednesday, June 10, 2015 - 
Re-published in sfgate.com:

A sad sight.
These are proud plants, they should look like this:


But i guess nature ('mother earth') needs protection from humans.
What a chilling thought.
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I get the 'New Yorker' newsletter, i have been a subscriber for many years, this one is a 'paid post' an ad for the book, but that's OK, Mr Wilson has most excellent credentials, well worth listening to.
"For the first time in history a conviction has developed among those who can actually think more than a decade ahead that we are playing a global endgame" - Edward O. Wilson
This includes a lengthy excerpt from the book - it's a long read, well worth it.

Saturday, February 13, 2016

January was interesting. Very.


I didn't keep very good notes this month but we have gotten some decent rain. 
When will El Nino really ramp up and kick our butts?

"The popular perception that El Niño always brings a lot of water to the Golden State, though, is not particularly accurate.  The reality is a bit more nuanced....."
Read this blog:
"Has El Nino abandoned LA??"
"By this point in the winter, Southern California was supposed to be dealing with rains and flooding, not brush fires and beach weather.
Yet temperatures have soared this week, breaking records in downtown Los Angeles and other locations across California, with even hotter conditions expected Tuesday.
For all the talk of monster rains from El Niño, all but three days in the last month have been dry in the Los Angeles area."
1/28 sunrise

As i was making breakfast, i could see out my north window glimpses of a fiery sunrise. Since breakfast is my favorite meal, it was a-cookin', and i was feeling lazy, i gave it a pass. I learned later in the day that was, indeed, fiery.



I didn't feel i missed anything., 'been there, done that'. I've got many like the pix here.
Half an hour later, the skies were less fiery, but more interesting and subtle.
I like the 'more interesting and subtle' part.

1/31
'Sposed to be stormy, it doesn't happen. There some great skies nonetheless. Big bands of thick stuff movin' in off the ocean.
And  when they move in, things can go from one extreme to another in no time flat.

2/9
The last week? Summer-like. And more to come. I am making salads for lunch, not meaty winter time sandwiches or soups.

2/10
I finally took in a great sunrise, left breakfast simmering.....



Many other images this month!  
The sky is a constantly changing panorama - 'enjoy every sandwich' (as Warren Zevon put it), every minute of it. It only happens once.


Above, two kinds of power. Normally I like to not have anything manmade in these images, but this one
has a bit of a message - manmade power (thanks to which you are seeing this) vs. the much greater power of planet earth.





This one, below, happened in between two much cheerier skies, lasted for 30 minutes, then headed east.




The one below happened...


...giving a hint ( I've learned to read those) of what was to come:




















'Very Playful' is what I would title this one below.



We are so lucky to be here now!